Liquidity Risk

Definition

Liquidity risk is the potential inability to enter, exit, repay, or unwind a position at a reasonable price within expected timeframes due to insufficient market liquidity.

Three Primary Risk Categories

Fixed-Maturity Borrowing

Early loan settlement through AMM swaps may result in unfavorable pricing due to slippage and price impact, or complete inability to execute, potentially forcing holders to wait until maturity.

Floating-Rate Lending

Lenders can withdraw unutilized assets, but redemptions may become dependent on borrowers repaying, creating potential withdrawal delays when utilization is high.

Liquidity Providers

Reserve rehypothecation means not all reserves may be liquid at all times, potentially causing temporary withdrawal restrictions.

Risk Scenarios

  • AMM liquidity depletion during volatility

  • Rapid withdrawal runs causing utilization spikes

  • Rehypothecation lockups

  • Correlated stress events that simultaneously impact multiple risk factors

Mitigations (With Caveats)

Fira employs liquidity incentives and rate responses, but these are not guarantees and may not work under stress. Alternative settlement pathways exist but become costly or unavailable during stress conditions.

Key Warnings

  • Assume liquidity can disappear rapidly

  • Treat fixed-maturity early exits as risky

  • Recognize that floating-rate withdrawals lack guaranteed timing

  • Avoid relying on interface estimates during market stress

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